Phil,
First, though I know I'm coming off as hating APRs, I don't. A more accurate description would be that I'm torn on them, leaning harder to being against than for. So few on management type forums talk about what they don't like about APRs, while explaining potential benefits, that I tend to focus on just the negatives.
You make some very fair points. Antler characteristics don't define superior or inferior health, in and of themselves. That said, one tends to see a lot higher % of mutant racked bucks being less than physically top notch than those sporting primo racks. How many 120+ have you seen with runt bodies or something that indicates they were born with less than good genes? I've seen a few, but I'd say less than 5% for sure. On those mutant racks, that number for me reaches closer to 40-50%.
still, what I was really getting at more than that was well timed fawning to healthy mothers. For a 1.5 to meet APR criteria in most settings, their birth had to occur in the prime spring window and to a healthy mother. There's more to it than just that, but pitifully few bucks will exceed minimum APRs if they were born late or their mother wasn't healthy. So, APRs punish some of those that followed Mother Nature's rules for survival (well timed births from healthy mothers) and rewards those that Mother Nature punishes (late births or fawns born to unhealthy mothers). That's what I'm really getting at when referring to health/superior.
the part about Bill has nothing directly to do with APRs. I just included it to help explain why I don't buy the research that states our buck harvest practices have no impact on future deer herds. that's often used as a counter to my point that killing the healthiest 1.5s isn't a great idea in the long run. After all, "research shows you can't impact genetics by killing or passing bucks with specific traits." Because of yearling buck dispersal, I believe that to a great extent, as it applies to a specific property. When looking at a larger area, I just don't buy it for a second. When enough hunters focus on killing bucks with specific traits (in this case, 1.5s born at the right time to healthy mothers) in a large enough area, our actions will have consequences over the long haul. I really don't believe one can debate that they won't. In my mind, the debate should be over if it's worth it. That's a legit debate for both sides, IMO