I don’t know, none of us do. Hell the state doesn’t cause they don’t have a way to measure the alternative.
And for the record I never have thought bait would decimate the herd. I think it ruins the age structure.
And in my area, what I see is baiting allows small property owners, who would not have many deer, the ability to rape the doe herd and limit deer population growth. We dont kill does on our land because we know the small landowning neighbors are going to.
In a state where almost everyone hunting private land uses bait, AR has one of the highest percentage of 3.5 and older bucks killed.
Deer harvest is becoming more and more about personal decisions. 30 years, before APR’s - and we had no bucks older than 1.5 - all deer were created equal. My group would as soon kill a doe as a spike - and we tried to kill a limit. I have teenage grand daughters who wont shoot a young buck now. They dont even wake up and look when I tell them a doe is in the food plot.
In KY, 300,000 hunters are killing 145,000 deer - with an expanding deer population. Do you think more deer are not killed because folks dont have the chance - or are choosing not to kill them? All the folks I know who didnt kill a deer last fall had multiple opportunities but chose not to. It doesnt matter what kind of regulations you have - if people arent killing a deer with an eight week rifle season and five deer limit because they choose not to - they arent going to kill a deer if you double the season or bag limit.
What I have seen - including the Louisiana hunters who used to kill a fawn with milk on its lips - the fewer the deer seen, the more likely folks are to shoot one when they do see it. The more deer seen - including those past Louisiana fawn killers - the less likely they are to shoot.
I also think, as the human population age increases - a greater percentage of the hunting licenses are owned by older folks - like me - who quite possibly dont hunt as much or as seriously. I know a quite a few guys my age and older who buy hunting licenses, because they always have - and never go and if they do - they dont want to mess with a dead deer in the first place.
I live in a very rural area with an extremely strong hunting tradition. I am 25 miles from the closest stop light. Plenty of public land availability. I have seen a big increase in the age structure of the hunters, and a huge decrease in the effort of the hunters.
Just because the number of hunters is static, does not mean the effort is