That would seem to be a small house in most of the suburban neighborhoods I see.Who the hell needs a 3000 sqft house with four bathrooms and a four stall garage?
FWIW...I agree with you
That would seem to be a small house in most of the suburban neighborhoods I see.Who the hell needs a 3000 sqft house with four bathrooms and a four stall garage?
It’s not coming, it’s here! I have heard of a bank offer 96 mos loans! Part of the problem came when it was (accurately) reported that there is a shortage of cars due to chip shortage. People who didn’t even need a new car went out and bought one (new or used) because of the “perceived “ shortage. This increased the shortage of cars which then inflated price. I was telling all my family and friends “do not buy a car right now, unless you need one, and if you need one, buy new. if the people who bought used lose their jobs, and this occurs in mass, we are in trouble. If not, we are fine. Banks are not panicing at all. Subprime is still being bought. I only know of one bank that is exiting the car marke. One I know is slowing down, but most are still buying lots of paper.
My wife and I did the same things. Our house was built in 1986, and we lived (and still live) pretty simply. Paid extra on the mortgage payment principal, re-financed to a lower fixed rate. No fancy cars, boats, campers, motorcycles, etc. I had the house dried-in when it was built, and did most of the interior work myself, including hanging the doors, all stained woodwork, and painting. Landscaped the property myself. The savings from doing those things myself was invested. Cut my own firewood which heated our home for the most part. Using the local utility's avg. heating figures for a home of our size (2000 sq, ft.), we've saved over $42,000 in "normal" heating bills by heating with mostly free wood. Furnace used VERY lightly. That allowed us to invest even more. If we wanted to go on a vacation - we could. Eat out - we could. Being a bit frugal and not flashy can pay off long-term.Built our house in 1988 while I was earning about $11/hr, interest rate was 10% on the ARM. Only borrowed what we could afford, paid it off early by making extra payments and refinancing to a lower interest rate. Skipped the toys and fancy vehicles. Why go in debt until you're drowning for something that depreciates to nothing in a few years?
We put some sweat equity into the house, but not as much as you did. When we built our cabin the only thing that was contracted out was the tear down of the old one, the slab for the new one , drywall work and the carpet. Did everything else on our own with help from friends and family.My wife and I did the same things. Our house was built in 1986, and we lived (and still live) pretty simply. Paid extra on the mortgage payment principal, re-financed to a lower fixed rate. No fancy cars, boats, campers, motorcycles, etc. I had the house dried-in when it was built, and did most of the interior work myself, including hanging the doors, all stained woodwork, and painting. Landscaped the property myself. The savings from doing those things myself was invested. Cut my own firewood which heated our home for the most part. Using the local utility's avg. heating figures for a home of our size (2000 sq, ft.), we've saved over $42,000 in "normal" heating bills by heating with mostly free wood. Furnace used VERY lightly. That allowed us to invest even more. If we wanted to go on a vacation - we could. Eat out - we could. Being a bit frugal and not flashy can pay off long-term.
Vehicles are needed - but their value goes down as soon as you drive it off the lot. You're exactly right, Jerry-B-WI.
I can't imagine how many big screen TV's and car loans were financed with stimulus money and student loan payment suspensions. All them chickens will come home to roost and it'll be ugly.You are right, it's just being suppressed by the consumer debt run up and Gov't entitlement programs. Employers have also had to pay excessive compensation, beyond market rate, for employees. If this loan forgiveness program gets enacted, even more money will flood the economy. The Fed keeps screaming pay attention to me, but too many people are ignoring them.
What...no sin stocks?I started moving a little cash to short term treasuries. I figured out how to buy and sell them directly on my trading platform. I'm scooping up 3 month and 6 month treasuries. Should the bottom blow out of the market, I should be able to liquidate these at a moment's notice and go looting. I'm about 80% equities, 11% cash, 9% treasuries. I'll probably hold at that until we get some more info.
View attachment 50439
This is what I'm holding right now for stocks in order from biggest holdings to smallest.
View attachment 50440
What...no sin stocks?
Had to look at some investments on line. I have some cash stuffed into my SWVXX money market account.....and it's generating nearly a 4.5% yield currently. Much better than a few months ago. Cash is not as hard to hold at these rates as it used to be. It's hard to lose the liquidity feature of the MM accounts for another 1/2 point on a CD or treasury.
Pushing a few pretty big gains around.....as it's hard to pay taxes on the gains in some big movers.....even tho we regularly trim positions.....still sitting on some decent gains. United Health, like Apple......is a gift that keeps on giving. Some of these have been owned a long time....but they also have been pared back due to overweight in the holdings.
AAPL = 12 x investment
ADP = 6.5 x
UNH = 7.3 x
FISV 5.6 x
When it comes to mutual funds.....it's hard to beat those offered by Vanguard. They have lots of mutual funds and ETF's to fit most everyone's needs. Schwab is doing better in some areas too.....and their money funds are quite good. In times past.....the Vanguard Health Care fund was a consistent winner for me.I was trying to find one of those but couldn’t for some reason. I already plunked my cash down for the 3/6 auction, so I’m committed.
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I first learned about Vanguard and the much smaller number of mutual funds it then managed in 1975. The Vanguard Windsor Fund when John Neff ran it was kicking a##. Health Care Fund was also a monster - haven't followed it lately.When it comes to mutual funds.....it's hard to beat those offered by Vanguard. They have lots of mutual funds and ETF's to fit most everyone's needs. Schwab is doing better in some areas too.....and their money funds are quite good. In times past.....the Vanguard Health Care fund was a consistent winner for me.
In the 80's I owned several of the Vanguard Funds including the Health Care Portfolio, 500 Index, and the Emerging Markets Fund. Sadly, did I ring the bell on the International funds when America was busy offshoring all it's big and dirty industry. "We" (America) shuffled all our heavy industry and many others to the Asian continent.....and let the mid-east kick our asses in energy. NOW, we wonder "what happned?" Duh! America has shot itself in the foot on so many times I can hardly beleive it. <------that may be the only good thing to come of Covid......that we put some of our basic needs back in place once again. One can hope!I first learned about Vanguard and the much smaller number of mutual funds it then managed in 1975. The Vanguard Windsor Fund when John Neff ran it was kicking a##. Health Care Fund was also a monster - haven't followed it lately.
Just reflecting on this......and I sold that 20k home for 60K (by myself) after 7 years.....and built a new home for 120 k....with a 7% / 30 year mortgage....which seemed a stretch. Was not. We got "stuck" in that home for nearly 20 years as we could not see a way out. Nice place to be.....and raise my kids. Then my biz got REALLY good....and had some "mad Money" to invest....and bought a new built home for $400k (cash).....and sold the "old" house for about 200k. Yikes....life in the fast lane? Lived happy for many years in a great home. Then sold my biz....and retired with excess money to put into another new place....and built a home on the lake. No mortgage / no payments . Just living the good life.....after many years of sweating it out. American dream?.....maybe. Taking risks? ---- you damn right! Winning? Absolutely!...but not without sticking your neck out. Not sure many folks know how to do that without lots of hard work and high risk today.^ Interesting. When I bought my first home.....typical rates were about 7% and rising. Got up as high as 14% or so.....and folks would buy before the price went higher. Took a long time for mortgage rates to drop to those of the past ten years or so. Still cheap by historic terms. Of course the homes we were buying were a fraction of todays prices. My first home was 3 BR / 2 bath....and cost me 20k.
I watched the speech to the nation in the 1980's where a certain president said "...We're going to change our economy from a manufacturing-based economy, to a service-based economy." That's when the flood gates opened up to the offshoring of "American" industry. Even our military Joint Chiefs of Staff argued (for a couple decades) against moving vital industries overseas for national security reasons. But corporate "America" won the day - and our manufacturing left the U.S."We" (America) shuffled all our heavy industry and many others to the Asian continent.