I just got back from the local grocery store. the lady in front of me paid for a whole cart of snacks with a welfare EBT card. She then went over to the front desk and dropped $60 cash on powerball tickets. Just doesn't seem right to me.
Yep. Your odds are 290m/1. The second ticket drops your odds to 289,999,999. Fyi, the odds of being hit my lightning, an asteroid and having identical quadruplets and being the potus is 40m/1.
ehhhh not so much. your odds wouldn't drop by just one. Remember that you need to take into consideration human culpability and expected return. Hence why they give "estimates" on the jackpot. According to your math the jackpot estimate at 1.5 BB and the odds you describe seems like a reasonable return on investment. Meaning, I buy ALL available tickets at 289MM and eliminate all series numbers 12345, PB 1, 23456, PB 1 etc, which would leave that number drastically lower seems like an easy investment??? NOPE Your odds of winning will decrease as the "frenzy" grows because of the chances of multiple winners.
So, it's more of a probability game rather than increasing your "odds". Your expected value of the "pot" and your return on your investment, and coupled with the possibility of multiple wins leaves you with what happened last night. Multiple wins in multiple states, 1/3 of a huge jackpot, and some very happy people this am.