I have to ask myself, "Is there a high barrier of entry into the market?". I'm not sure I see that. Layoff's going on in that sector. Will the combination of rate hikes and increased home prices and increased building costs, will builders pull back for a significant time. Will that time delay in housing transactions cause consolidation? Will it give others time to catch up in the newer selling techniques (on-line stuff).
If you think this will be a quick recovery, you may be right. I tend to think there are differences. When the fed raises interest rates, they don't just cool demand, they cool expansion and future supply. It makes me think time is more important in a recovery than currency manipulation. I personally think it will be a slow recovery, not a quick one. That applies to the general economy as well as housing.
Businesses without a high barrier to entry will face a lot of competition when things pick up.
Just one man's opinion.
Thanks,
Jack