I didnt read this entire thread, but I just bought my first crossbow this year, but there is a pretty big group of archery hunters that are mid 50's + that struggle with bow hunting, because of injuries, or age in general. If it werent for crossbow, I would probably be giving up archery altogether in the next season or two. I am sure there are several that have already given up, that now are just starting to use crossbow, so if it wasnt for crossbows, almost a complete generation would be done hunting already, this just extends their hunting.
I know in the past you could get a drs note and hunt with a crossbow, but that was something I would have never done. I had 5 shoulder surgeries, and struggle to pull back a bow at 50#, the new cross bow should make my shots more accurate, and less wounded deer in the woods. So what I am getting at is, crossbow hunting may not be pulling a bunch of "new hunter" but extending, or bringing back old hunters.
But even with a cross bow for me this year, I still didnt not get a deer. One has to pull the trigger to get one, and the few deer I saw, werent the right ones for me.
Hunting with a crossbow isnt the same as gun hunting, you are still limited to less then 50 yards, you still cant blast through brush, or have a pump, or semi auto crossbow. You basically get 1 shot, chances are if you miss, it is less likely with a crossbow to reload and get another shot off, then a compound bow.
Not everyone hunts prime land, where deer are lined up daily to give you multiple shots on every hunt, crossbow hunting wont be the game changer you think it is.