Things are getting even more confusing for me. Tonight I had 2 deer in a field inside 100 yards. I took my time and rested the barrel on the window seal just like last time. In fact, I was shooting from the same window of the same blind where I previously missed the deer. I put the crosshairs right on the deer's shoulder, focused, and slowly squeezed of the shot. Both deer jumped and went on alert but did not leave the field. After a bit, they calmed down and went back to feeding, so I know it was a clean miss.
I reloaded and decided to try again. I put even more focus into the next shot. I put the crosshairs on the front shoulder and squeezed. The deer was clearly hit. It limped off the field like I broke the leg. I reloaded once more before heading out to look for the deer. Before I could leave the blind, I noticed the other deer was back in the field. Once again, I settled on the front shoulder and squeezed the trigger. The deer disappeared. I did not see it run.
I reloaded one more time and then headed out to see what was going on. The second deer had dropped into the brassica and that is why I could not see it. I then looked into the pines and saw the first deer I shot laying on the ground. I figured I had both...NOT. As I approached the first deer I had shot, it got up and ran. Clearly it only had a broken leg, not a mortal wound.
When I picked up the second deer, I found it was shot in the neck. That is a good 6"-8" to the right of my aim point. I can tell about vertical as the shot was far enough forward that depending on head position that I wasn't paying attention to when I shot, it is possible vertical was high, low, or right on.
There is clearly some difference between how this gun is performing in my hands in the field, compared to the range. For now, I'm blaming it on me, but I don't seem to have this issue with my .300 Win Mag barrel on the same frame.
After the season, I'm going to need to do some serious practice at the range, not just shooting with bags. I think that is the only way I'll be able to figure this out. For the rest of this year, I think I'll just limit myself to traditional muzzleloader ranges under 100 yards. If I don't figure this out, it won't be a long-range gun for me.