I’m torn on Powell. I think he’s been a walking mistake since Covid. Too late to raise, transitory, cutting because the outlook was inflation was going to drop before the election which came off as overtly political (the fed officials donated $250k to Harris and $15k to Trump this past cycle) not cutting because the tariffs may be inflationary (though the data isn’t supporting that yet).
But…I think trumps rhetoric is foolish and childish. He has a case that rates should be lower certainly but the tactic is stupid, I know shocking. It sets a bad precedent but in this case maybe the ends justify the means.
My view is lower rates and if inflation runs back up raise them. But to keep them high on the chance is too painful for the majority of Americans and our debt. I’m seeing it firsthand. The housing market is dead.