My fawn recruitment over the past ten years has run from .4 to .6 - with the last few years being closer to the .4 fawns per doe number. We dont shoot but one or two does a year off 350 acres. Personal opinion - I dont feel like we have a lot of coyotes - and our coyotes have always fed fairly heavily on piglets and scavenged pig carcasses the land owners killed. But over the past year or so, USDA and NRCS have concentrated hog trapping in my area. I have gone from killing 153 hogs in six months to getting a picture of the same four hogs twice in the last six months. I think the yotes have lost a huge component of their food source and they are having to rely on other food sources, now. We have very few rabbits, mice, rats, game birds, etc for coyotes to eat.
You are probably right on that. Some folks are looking at the same with feral horse gathers and mnt lions, using cameras, covering something like 500,000 acres with a handfull of cameras on a 7km grid, and it is scientifically defensible.
Because of cameras, I am convinced that the biggest impact to fawn recruitment in my area is elk, planted by the state where they never existed, nearly 100% private land and forage.
In fact, I am glad you brought this up because I was going to go to UDNR meeting in a couple weeks to make this same point, with the caveat that it just one season of data, but if what I witnessed this season is the norm, elk dog this particular herd of deer 365 days a year. The only reprieve they get, is after we turn sheep in. We have known for a while that elk don't tolerate sheep much, and I would have assumed the same for deer. The deer don't seem to mind the sheep near as much as they do elk, but its going to take a few seasons for me to feel confident any of this is real or just my bias.
In my opinion, and probably a few others, some of the best science (natural resource) is a photo, and maybe a series spanning years.
James E. Bowns said something to the effect of give me control of the range, and I will control your deer population. I took that to mean you control the forage and cover, but I would have to assume predators too.
I find it bizarre that you have any control over fawn recruitment with 350 acres. To control a deer's habitat all season long would require control of anywhere from 500,000 to 10 million acres where I live (IDK, assume on average one deer per thousands of acres range wide). If the deer show up barely alive from winter nothing I do will affect the number born, and I think it's only with already low numbers that predation becomes an issue. Unless you have something strange like prey switching from prey removal in your case. The environmental documents prepared by the USDA should have analyzed the effects of prey switching by predators/scavengers and included a plan to address it, but you know, govt.