Recent content by OakSeeds

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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    BNB ... ya'll is stealing some of my thunder ... just a quick note on covid and inflation ... inflation had been low for 12 years (2009-2020) with only one year higher than the Trump year of 2.4 when it reached 3.2 (Obama .. his administration had the sub-prime mortgage shock to deal with)...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    as long as the demand for oil remains the same, and, since the demand for a product like gasoline is pretty inelastic you are correct P.S. ... point of clarification ... in your response 2 posts above, I referred to economic growth and unemployment as the home-run legs ... inflation was excluded
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    By the time President Raegan took over in 1981, a unique economic term called "Stagflation" had been bantied about and it was characterized by a sluggish/low growth economy, high inflation, and high unemployment. Historically, inflation and unemployment were believed to operate somewhat at...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    OIL ... an indispensable commodity for developed and developing nations. It's traded on an international level and strongly influenced by the laws of supply and demand (price becomes the allocator, thereby linked to inflation). As a petroleum-dependent nation the U. S. uses gobs of oil for...
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    Norway Spruce Screen Decisions

    13-13-13 / compromise ... and ONLY spread it lightly at the drip line
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    TD ..... or anyone else How, or why, might oil have played a role in any or all of these 4 administrations It might be helpful to frame your answers in the context of how most economists view the causes of inflation ...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    Inflation ... and attribution theory (a soul to bless or an arse to kick) or, as some might say, the blame game. R. Reagan is/was one of the most highly respected among post 1950s Presidents, yet, his administration enjoyed only one year out of eight when inflation was less than 3.25% ... his...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    Food for thought ... As SD51555 explained to Native Hunter in post 4,082, anyone moving $ from tech stocks or tech-heavy mutual funds to an S&P 500 Index Fund to diversify away from over reliance on tech stocks may not be escaping the "tech-effect" as much as they think or prefer. Excerpts...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    Foggy says .... "Folks talk about high interest rates today at 5.5% or so......but I can remember getting aa much as 20% for some time in the Vanguard Money Market fund......back in the 70's. Talk about spooky times to borrow money!" In 1981 you could get a 1-5 year CD that paid 15.8%, backed...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    cont .... The numbers for 2016 and 2017 give FBGRX a distinct advantage and increase it's lead to $107.24 since FBGRX now has a value of $330.61 while the S & P 500 Index exhibits a value of $223.37. The next 4-year period (2018-2021) begin with a down year (the 500 Index has a 4.52 loss for...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    With all due respect to my friend BNB who said .... "The point those gents were making is that active managers do have index-beating results some years - but don't do so on a consistent basis ..." I'm calling those gents out ... that be bovine do-do or bunny grunt, and I'll also illustrate the...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    My good friend BNB quotes an economist who cast an absolute statement that is incorrect .... BnB said .... Even Burton Malkiel - a now-retired Princeton economist (and Bogle fan) agrees to the efficiency of index investing. Malkiel said recently, (not exact quote) "The numbers prove it out...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    That fund is even more concentrated ... FSELX holds more than 75% of their total holdings in their top 10 stocks, with NVDA at #1 (over 28 %). If you had dumped 10 grand in FSELX 10 yrs ago, it would be worth 108,000 dollars today. It's a tech world folks ... these type of funds may...
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    Stock Market is the bottom in?

    H20fwler simply posted FBGRX ... and left it at that .. if you put $1000 in FBGRX 1-1-2023 and looked at your gains as of Friday, you'd note an 81+ % increase ($1813.50 new total ) in less than 15 months. How does that happen when the S&P 500 Index rose only 24+ % in 2023 and is up 10% year to...
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    Forest Assisted Migration Project

    An interesting read about "forest migration" in colder environments; should be especially of interest to our friends in MN. Enjoy .... https://www.inverse.com/science/radical-experiment-transplant-forest-climate-change?utm_source=pocket-newtab-en-us
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